# Probability

## Extrema of 2D Discrete Gaussian Free Field - Lecture 6

Speaker:

Marek Biskup
Date:

Tue, Jun 13, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

The Gaussian free field (GFF) is a fundamental model for random fluctuations of a surface. The GFF is closely related to local times of random walks via relations that originated in the study of spin systems. The continuous GFF appears as the limit law of height functions of dimer covers, uniform spanning trees and other models without apparent Gaussian correlation structure. The GFF is also a simple example of a quantum field theory. Intriguing connections to SLE, the Brownian map and other recently studied problems exist. The GFF has recently become subject of focused interest by probabilists. Through Kahane's theory of multiplicative chaos, the GFF naturally enters into models of Liouville quantum gravity. Multiplicative chaos is also central to the description of level sets where the GFF takes values proportional to its maximum, or values order-unity away from the absolute maximum. Random walks in random environments given as exponentials of the GFF show intriguing subdiffusive behavior. Universality of these conclusions for other models such as gradient systems and/or local times of random walks are within reach.

## Graphical approach to lattice spin models - Lecture 6

Speaker:

Hugo Duminil-Copin
Date:

Mon, Jun 12, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

Phase transitions are a central theme of statistical mechanics, and of probability more generally. Lattice spin models represent a general paradigm for phase transitions in finite dimensions, describing ferromagnets and even some fluids (lattice gases). It has been understood since the 1980s that random geometric representations, such as the random walk and random current representations, are powerful tools to understand spin models. In addition to techniques intrinsic to spin models, such representations provide access to rich ideas from percolation theory. In recent years, for two-dimensional spin models, these ideas have been further combined with ideas from discrete complex analysis. Spectacular results obtained through these connections include the proof that interfaces of the two-dimensional Ising model have conformally invariant scaling limits given by SLE curves, that the connective constant of the self-avoiding walk on the hexagonal lattice is given by √ 2 + √ 2 , and that the magnetisation of the three-dimensional Ising model vanishes at the critical point.

## Extrema of 2D Discrete Gaussian Free Field - Lecture 5

Speaker:

Marek Biskup
Date:

Mon, Jun 12, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

## Graphical approach to lattice spin models - Lecture 5

Speaker:

Hugo Duminil-Copin
Date:

Mon, Jun 12, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

## Scaling limits of random graphs - Lecture 3

Speaker:

Christina Goldschmidt
Date:

Fri, Jun 9, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

In the last 30 years, random combinatorial structures and their limits have been a flourishing area of research at the interface between probability and combinatorics. In this minicourse, I hope to show you some of the beautiful theory that arises when considering scaling limits of random trees and graphs. Trees are fundamental objects in combinatorics and the enumeration of different classes of trees is a classical subject. In the first part of the minicourse, we will take as our basic object the genealogical tree of a critical Galton-Watson branching process. (As well as having nice probabilistic properties, this class turns out to include various natural types of random combinatorial tree in disguise.) In the same way as Brownian motion is the universal scaling limit for centred random walks of finite step-size variance, it turns out that all critical Galton-Watson trees with finite offspring variance have a universal scaling limit, Aldous' Brownian continuum random tree. In the infinite variance case, assuming certain tail conditions for the offspring distribution, other scaling limits arise, the so-called stable trees. The simplest model of a random network is the Erdős-Rényi random graph: we take n vertices, and include each possible edge independently with probability p. One of the most well-known features of this model is that it undergoes a phase transition. Take p=c/n. Then for c<, the components have size O(log n), whereas for c>1, there is a giant component, comprising a positive fraction of the vertices, and a collection of O(log n) components. In the second part of this minicourse, we will focus on the critical setting, c=1, where the largest components have size on the order n2/3, and are "close" to being trees, in the sense that they have only finitely many more edges. We will see how to use a comparison with a branching process in order to derive the scaling limit of the critical Erdős-Rényi random graph. Time permitting, we will then move on to consider the more general setting of a critical random graph generated according to the configuration model with independent and identically distributed degrees. Here, it is possible to obtain the same scaling limit as in the Erdős-Rényi case, but also others related to the stable trees.

## Graphical approach to lattice spin models - Lecture 4

Speaker:

Hugo Duminil-Copin
Date:

Fri, Jun 9, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

## Extrema of 2D Discrete Gaussian Free Field - Lecture 4

Speaker:

Marek Biskup
Date:

Fri, Jun 9, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

## Scaling limits of random graphs - Lecture 2

Speaker:

Christina Goldschmidt
Date:

Thu, Jun 8, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

## Extrema of 2D Discrete Gaussian Free Field - Lecture 3

Speaker:

Marek Biskup
Date:

Thu, Jun 8, 2017
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

PIMS-CRM Summer School in Probability 2017 Abstract:

## Probability, Outside the Classroom

Speaker:

David Aldous
Date:

Fri, Mar 4, 2016
Location:

PIMS, University of British Columbia
Conference:

Hugh C. Morris Lecture Abstract:

Aside from games of chance and a handful of textbook topics (e.g. opinion polls) there is little overlap between the content of an introductory course in mathematical probability and our everyday perception of chance. In this mostly non-mathematical talk I will give some illustrations of the broader scope of probability.
Why do your friends have more friends than you do, on average? How can we judge someone’s ability to assess probabilities of future geopolitical events, where the true probabilities are unknown? Were there unusually many candidates for the 2012 and 2016 Republican Presidential Nominations whose fortunes rose and fell? Why, in a long line at airport security, do you move forward a few paces and then wait half a minute before moving forward again? In what everyday contexts do ordinary people perceive uncertainty/unpredictability in terms of chance?